How to Use Sportsbook Totals to Predict High-Scoring Games, Players

 

spurs

Predicting a scoring performance from a particular player can be daunting at the best of times, but courtesy of sportsbooks’ pro handicappers, there is some decent intelligence to be had about which games could lead to big score lines.

Oddsmakers scour every football fixture, trade, and injury report before setting their lines and odds using that information. Because there can be literally millions in bets on the line for these sportsbooks, they make every effort to be accurate. Following what they do can provide you with a huge edge in picking which games will produce goals. For example, take a look at the odds here – it can make all the difference in the world when it comes to making your selections, if you know what you’re looking for.

How can a sportsbook be used to predict game scores?

For starters, sportsbooks set a total on each game. A total is the number of goals that are scored in a game by both teams, combined. Sportsbooks try to set the total at a number that accurately reflects the consensus for how many goals will be scored in a game, so it is usually a strong indication of how high-powered the offenses in that game will be.

For example, in this week’s schedule, the Tottenham-Southampton game on Sunday stands out. The line for the game is set at 2.5 (relative to the average total for a football match of 1.5 or 2), meaning they are anticipating goals.

Looking closer at the details of the teams, that prediction stands to reason. Tottenham is coming off a disappointing exit in the Europa League quarterfinals this week, but the team showed it can score suddenly in their 2-2 draw with Benfica on Thursday, with Nacer Chadli scoring twice in 10 minutes in te draw.

Once you’ve identified a game that is likely to run up a score according to linesmakers, it’s a matter of selecting the potential scorers from those teams, and off you go. By leveraging the knowledge base that is behind sportsbook totals, you’ll gain the edge in prepping your fantasy team.

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Posted on March 22, 2014, in Player Selection and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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