Liverpool, Spurs and Manchester United Spring with Surprise goalscorers!!

GW12 FPL REVIEW FROM @FANTASYGAFFER

TOGGA

Well, that was unexpected. Roberto Soldado hit a game-winner for Spurs, Liverpool kept the clean sheet and Sergio Aguero assisted on two of the Citizen’s three goals and still missed out on the bonus (Clichy (3), Yaya Touré (2), Hart). The League pauses Monday to reset and kicks-off again for a midweek fixture list which includes top of the table clashes with Chelsea hosting Tottenham and Arsenal hosting Southampton.

A handful of injured players are set to miss out, as the midweek fixture will provide insufficient time to recover from knocks. Angel Di Maria headlines a group of players which may include his club Captain, Wayne Rooney. Louis van Gaal’s post-match presser indicated that Di Maria would miss at least one match, while Rooney had a significantly better chance of passing fit to play Stoke. The Potters conceded a late goal to Liverpool this weekend and Mark Hughes’ side will be hard pressed to secure a point on this visit. Both Rooney and Robin van Persie scored in the Red Devils victory over Hull and the duo are expected to start up front together on Tuesday. Van Gaal’s side was gifted the lead when Chris Smalling bundled the ball over the line (courtesy of a poor clearance) to open the scoring. Smalling’s goal started a trend of unlikely defenders finding the net. We’re happy for Smalling, Johnson and Clichy, but we’re not investing expecting future returns.

After an interesting weekend of Premier League action, there are 26 defenders who have scored in League action this term. Headlined by a trio of forward thinking (clever!) Toffees’ defenders, the eight defenders to have scored two goals include Branislav Ivanovic and Nathaniel Clyne, both of whom boast significant fantasy EPL ownership. Clyne and his teammate Ryan Bertrand each recorded a loan point in FPL GW13, with the three goals conceded against City costing the duo. The Saints’ fixture list is unrelenting as Arsenal loom midweek and Manchester United visit St. Mary’s on 8 December. Bertrand (22.4%) and Clyne (33.1%) are hard to drop given their price but the next two will provide scant returns. A brief respite is followed by Chelsea (H), Arsenal (H) and Manchester United (a) following the traditional Boxing Day fixture. With injuries to Vlaar (14%), Kompany (11.3%), Duff (10.3%) and Janmaat (9.0%), there will be a flurry of transfer ahead of Tuesday’s kickoff.

TOGGA

Liverpool’s Jose Enrique earned 90′, a clean sheet and generally good reviews for his performance against Stoke and is £4.6m-rated with 1%> ownership. He’s worth a punt in the next two: Leicester (a) and Sunderland (H). Fixture congestion is now a serious concern for a number of top sides – and domestic fixture congestion an issue for all clubs with seven match days scheduled between today and 1 January 2015 – making fantasy squad rotation a must. Running the rule over the immediate schedules for each of the 20 clubs point to a number of short-term plays. West Brom have a friendly run in their next four with West Ham (H), Hull (a), Aston Villa (H) and QPR (a) ripe for the plucking. The young England hitman is £6.0m-rated and owned in a significant 19.3% of all fantasy premier league sides. He is seeing a modest influx of ownership already and his price may rise in the short-term. The 19.3% ownership represents the fourth-highest ownership of any forward behind on Costa (57.1%), Aguero (30.8%) and Pelle (27.4%). The Saints’ Italian international has seen significant transfers out in the past two weeks, with a net transfer of -123158 a week ago. Locking in the profit is a must for his owners as Pelle’s price has fallen £0.2m this week alone.

And, of course, players picking up bookings remain a significant issue as Diego Costa has been cautioned the magic five and will miss Chelsea’s match home to Spurs. A rest may be good for Costa’s long term value and he’ll return in time for Chelsea’s trip to Tyneside ahead of a visit from the Tigers. The favourable schedule in the next two gameweeks will mean Costa’s ownership does not dip despite the enforced absence Wednesday.

We would be remiss if we didn’t mention Yaya Toure’s second goal in as many League games – hitting the opener off a deflection to break Southampton hearts. Priced £10.6m, Toure’s still down £0.4m from his opening price of £11m and is hitting his stride at the right time. Upcoming fixtures with Sunderland (a), Everton (H), and Leicester (a) hghlight a weak slate in the coming eight match weeks which see the Citizens play the Toffees twice but no other side expected to finish inside the top half of the table. The imposing Ivorian international has performed better than the media coverage would credit and a few goals can help paper over any perceived cracks in his massive facade. Both Touré and Arsenal’s Santi Cazorla have performed far better than their fantasy EPL statistics would indicate. Feel free to click their name to see Opta stats courtesy of Togga. Both players make for good replacements for Di Maria (30.1%) or David Silva (remarkably owned in 4.9% of FPL sides despite having four on the bounce). Silva and Di Maria may be passed fit for next weekend, but a 13 December return is more likely for each.

For more insight and analysis, check back for the next “Five Players You Must Own” ahead of Tuesday’s kick-off.

 

 

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author
To read Fantasy Premier League draft stats and analysis, please visit the Togga Blog . You can follow the author @FantasyGaffer on Twitter.

TOGGA

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Posted on December 1, 2014, in Player Selection and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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