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This tip comes from the French Ligue 1 game between Troyes v Bastia taking place at the Stade de l’Aube at 19.00 this evening.
Another game from two sides involved in a relegation scrap in the French tip tier and I am expecting a pretty open game with both sides going for all 3 points.
Both sides have impressed me attacking wise of late although both sets of defence’s leave a lot to be desired.
Troyes currently occupy 19th position in the table and are 5 points adrift of safety as things stand. It was looking good last week as they led 0-2 at Toulouse only to concede two goals in the final 3 minutes of the game including a late own goal from Nivet, shaky defending at crucial times of the game has been something that has occurred too often this season.
Attacking wise though they have impressed and are growing in confidence especially at home.
Tonight is a game they really have to go out and try and win with their opponents Bastia 7 points above them in the table and I expect them to give it their all however I do not rate their chances of keeping Bastia out over 90 minutes.
Despite a 0-0 draw last time out, Troyes have managed just 1 other clean sheet at home all season long and have conceded 12 goals in their last 6 games here before that.
They did however mange to find the net equally 12 times themselves during that time and 5 of those 6 games all went over 2.5 goals with the other a 1-1 draw with Nice.
Bastia have conceded heavily during their travels for the most part of the season, in fact they they have the worst defensive record in the league conceding 51 times in just 25 games with 29 of those conceded on the road.
They themselves are just 3 points above the drop zone currently and this is the kind of game they will be aiming to win against a side in a poorer position.
With Bastia’s home record where they are generally finding the points to aid their survival they have nothing to lost tonight by going out and trying to win this game and that’s why I expect a pretty end to end game.
It’s true that Bastia have have struggled to find the net away from home this season but they have had their moments. They put 2 past Lyon, Nice and Reims as well as 3 against Sochaux all away from home.
Last away day they lost out to big guns PSG but still managed to score with the game ending 3-1.
All 4 of Bastia’s last 4 away games have all exceeded the Over 2.5 Goals mark.
This game should be seen as Bastia’s most important away fixture of the season so far and although I am not so confident they can take all 3 points, I am confident they can find the net and I will be expecting Troyes themselves to bag a couple of goals tonight.
Because of all the factors mentioned above I see the odds of 2.1 with Boylesports a great bet and is one of my favourites of the day.
Good luck to everyone betting today!
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