One-Nil, to the Liverpool: Fantasy Football GW3 Match Centre


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Here is the match roundup from GW3

As a reminder xG (xGoals = Expected Goals) is a totalling up of each team’s shots and likelihood of a goal based on shot position, assist type, whether it was header or not, and situation. From this individual player xG and xA (xAssist) can be worked out to determine their xPts. Currently this is attacking points only. Appearance, bonus, clean sheet points will be factored in subsequent gameweeks..

GW3 Match Centre and Ratings

Here is our statistical analysis of all the fixtures from GW3 based on our xG and xPts metric. these being the expected goals scored by each team and attacking points by each player based on the quantity and quality of shots and key passes.
You can find the complete GW3 xPt Ratings for every player here.

Be sure to join us tomorrow for a round-up of the first 3 GWs of action.

Liverpool 0.6 – 0.9 Man Utd

Final Score 1-0

A deserved victory by Liverpool by all accounts, they are already in the habit this season of nicking a goal and holding on for the win. Van Persie will rue his late miss. Liverpool could easily have conceded in this game, as against Stoke and Villa too. Fine margins.

Key Attacking Players
Liverpool: Agger (1.6), Sturridge (1.1), Gerrard (0.9)
Man Utd: Van Persie (1.8), Evra (1.3), Welbeck (1.1)

Arsenal 1.0 – 0.9 Tottenham

Final Score 1-0

An absorbing contest and a great result for Arsenal but showed the quality of both teams. Giroud and Walcott continue to pose a very high level of threat for the Gunners.  Tottenham are still to score from open play this season.

Key Attacking Players
Arsenal: Walcott (2.7), Ramsey (1.8), Giroud (1.8)
Spurs: Soldado (2.1), Paulinho (.3), Walker (1.2)

Cardiff 0.1 – 1.1 Everton

Final Score 0-0

The Toffees will feel hard done by the penalty decision but this is the second game running that they have failed to turn possession and chances into goals. Their possession game at least is securing clean sheets. Cardiff’s xG of 0.1 here is possibly the lowest we’ll see all season. 0.1 basically means Cardiff would need to play this game ten times before they’d score.

Key Attacking Players
Cardiff: Kim (0.3)
EFC: Barkley (2.7), Jelavic (1.6), Mirallas (1.1)

Crystal Palace 1.5 – 1.1 Sunderland

Final Score 3-1

Deserved 3 points in what may be a relegation decider come May next year. A long way off admittedly, but this is going to be a long hard season for both teams. Palace at least offer fantasy managers a few cheap attacking options.

Key Attacking Players
Palace: Puncheon (2.4), Gabbidon (2.1), Williams (1.8)
Sunderland: Wickham (2.7), Johnson (2.1), Larsson (0.7)


Newcastle 1.9 – 0.3 Fulham

Final Score 1-0

A decent performance in the end by Newcastle but the opposition in Fulham are really struggling to offer anything this season. Ben Arfa deserved his splendid goal but he still needs to be in a team that can score more goals to be worth £7m in FPL.  Cisse’s scoring boots are still missing, last seen 2011.

Key Attacking Players
Newcastle: Cisse (2.7), Ben Arfa (2.2), Gouffran (1.8)
Fulham: Taarabt (1.3)


Norwich 1.6 – 0.6 Southampton 

Final Score 1-0

A much improved performance for Norwich and pretty much the expected performance from both sides. Southampton had plenty of possession but were denied any real quality chances and Lambert was kept completely quiet. Leroy Fer had the most goal-scoring chances of anyone this weekend.

Key Attacking Players
Norwich: Fer (4.3), Elmander (1.8), Redmond (1.2)
Saints: Osvaldo (1.3), Lallana (0.9), Davis (0.6)

West Ham 0.8 – 1.2 Stoke

Final Score 0-1

Allardyce was scathing of his team going forward after the game and this was a pretty inept performance against a side  that you need to be scoring against at home. The Hammers best chances fell to their defensive players. Not a good sign. Stoke are quietly going about their business and with an astute signing or two they could take advantage of poor showings from their mid-table rivals.

Key Attacking Players
West Ham: Diame (2.5), Reid (2.3), Noble (0.8)
Stoke: Walters (2.5), Jones (1.8), Wilson (1.2)

West Brom 0.6 – 1.0 Swansea

Final Score 0-2

The Baggies are still to score this year and are now bottom of the league. Anelka was anonymous again. Troubles ahead. Swansea performed as expected really and Hernandez continued on from the form he showed last year before the Swan’s season petered out.

Key Attacking Players
West Brom: Morrison (0.9), Yacob (0.8), Dorrans (0.6)
Swansea: Hernandez (3.0), Michu (2.2), Davies (0.7)

Check out the complete GW3 xPt Ratings for every player.



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Posted on 4 Sep 2013, in Player Selection and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

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