Monthly Archives: November 2012
GW10 – THE REVIEW… by @shots_on_target
GW10 Match Review
Man United’s goal threat overall is almost entirely through Rooney and Van Persie. Asa you’d expect of course. Rooney’s missed penalty would have cost those who showed the faith in him but there should be know reason to panic with him getting as many opportunities to score as his Dutch colleague. Van Persie just has that extra cutting edge which is what the extra £2m buys you. Once again for Arsenal it’s all about Cazorla and Giroud. I own both these and really, really am hoping they can do something at home against Fulham.
Fellaini overshadows everyone here on a team full of goal chances, and therefore goals. Everton should have had 4 or 5 here, and Fuylham were very luck to get draw level. On another day Jelavic should have scored at least one and Baines or Pienaar an assist. If Everton can keep the Fellaini fit then everyone in this team will profit. Fulham were outclassed but Berbatov is still their main man. They will live to fight another day,

A game of limited chances as you would expect, with Norwich having the most chances overall but Stoke getting into the penalty box more. Pilkington had the stand out game from Norwich reminding us of his brief flurry of goals last season, although it was Johnson who grabbed the goal from one of two efforts. Stoke are never going to create many chances away from home so this is as expected really.
Swansea did a really good job here of limiting the number of good chances from Chelsea whilst almost matching them for threat going forward. Hazard had a good game in Mata’s absence with the lion’s share of the visitor’s shooting opportunities but with 3 out fo 4 of these coming from outside the box it’s not really a great surprise he did not score. Michu’s advanced role for Swansea has allowed De Guzman to get forward more he is a good alternative to the Spaniard.
No doubt many FPL managers, myself included, would have captained Gareth Bale in this game in what looked a “plum fixture” for the London outfit. Wigan are starting to recapture the kind of performance that kept them in this league at the end of last season. This is the second game in a row in which Spurs have failed to create the league average number of SoT and Sin and that does not bode well. Bale was, as usual, the number one attacking threat for Tottenham but it is starting to look like AVB’s tactical approach struggles without key players in the Spurs engine room, such as Dembele and Sandro. Wigan did not create a great deal of chances with Kone and Maloney and goalscorer Watson their top fantasy performers.

Zero shots on target here from West Ham is my highlight here, and only 6 shots in total, 4 in the box. This from a team who very much like to get the ball in the box under Sam Alladaryce. This really shows that the Manchester City defence is good. I hesitate to say improving as their early season defensive form has been great, it was just the all important clean sheet that was missing. It’s obviously worth a mention that Kevin Nolan had a legit goal ruled out for offside. Hardly any attacking threat from the City fullbacks is perhaps a sign of an increased defensive focus from Mancini. Going forward for City, Balotelli and Dzeko were wasteful, with their opportunities with Tevez playing a deeper, more creative role in comparison. Nasri, given the attacking role he should play in this team, has been very quiet all season.
I’d love to have the time to study Sunderland in more detail this season, and watch videos of all their matches. Just why it is they can’t hit the target I do not know, despite 10 attempts in the box against Villa here, with the whole team guilty of wayward shooting, except for Fletcher, who didn’t really get a sniff. Benteke and Agbonlahor are a decent enough pairing and if Weimann and Bannan can keep their place they look a real prospect for FPL managers at £5.2m and £4.9m respectively.. No sign of Darren Bent.

My selection of Junior Hoilett in my GW10 Select XI didn’t bear fruit here, although he was fairly well involved. Tarrabt and Cisse clearly hogged the shooting chances for Rangers though, with the Moroccan having an hugely impressive 8 shots in total but a really not so impressive 2 in the box. Someone (perhaps the manager) should tell him how well correlated goals are to shots in the box and how badly they are with shots from outside. Reading create plenty of chances but not so many on target.

Liverpool, as a team, are struggling a bit, mainly due to the fact they aren’t really a team. They are Luis Suarez. The Uruguayan pretty much single handed creates and takes all of everything Liverpool do up front. Gerrard looked busy but shooting from range so much. Shelvey was an early season tip from me, until his red card in the United game and 3 match ban. If he gets his place back ahead of Sahin he could be worth a look. Demba Ba did not do much before limping off with just one long range effort that was never going in. Newcastle’s main fantasy interest came from Ben Arfa and Cabaye, but overall their wasn’t much threat from the visitors who really rely on goals from their centre forward to win the games.

Apologies to anyone who took a punt on Lukaku here. Didn’t start. Sorry! Odemwingie served a reminder of his ability with a very prominent display and two goals. In the absence of much favoured James Morrison who had a knock Mulumbu dominated the midfield. Adkin’s inclusion of Lambert provided the chief threat for the visitors but the Baggies defence is deserving of this clean sheet.
To read more from @shots_on_target head over to http://www.shotsontarget.co.uk
GW10 – NOTHING BUT BONUS POINTS!!!
| 03 Nov 12:45 | Man Utd | ![]() |
2 – 1 | ![]() |
Arsenal |
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| 03 Nov 15:00 | Fulham | ![]() |
2 – 2 | ![]() |
Everton |
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| 03 Nov 15:00 | Norwich | ![]() |
1 – 0 | ![]() |
Stoke City |
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| 03 Nov 15:00 | Sunderland | ![]() |
0 – 1 | ![]() |
Aston Vil |
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| 03 Nov 15:00 | Swansea | ![]() |
1 – 1 | ![]() |
Chelsea |
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| 03 Nov 15:00 | Tottenham | ![]() |
0 – 1 | ![]() |
Wigan |
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| 03 Nov 17:30 | West Ham | ![]() |
0 – 0 | ![]() |
Man City |
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| 04 Nov 13:30 | QPR | ![]() |
1 – 1 | ![]() |
Reading |
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| 04 Nov 16:00 | Liverpool | ![]() |
1 – 1 | ![]() |
Newcastle |
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| 05 Nov 20:00 | West Brom
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Southampton |
Manchester United – #FPL Selection Advice
Many thanks to @shots_on_target for providing this Fantasy Yirma exclusive post! You can check out his top content at http://www.shotsontarget.co.uk .
The burning question on many Fantasy Managers lips right now is which Manchester United players to own ahead of the a delightful fixture list. Sir Alex’s Ferguson’s men are already the top scoring team in the league this season with 24 goals, 3 ahead of next best Chelsea. This was despite some tricky fixtures against the defensive set up of Stoke and away at Stamford Bridge. What can they achieve over the next set of games?
| GW 10 | (H) ARS | GW 16 | (A) MCI | |
| GW 11 | (A) AVL | GW 17 | (H) SUN | |
| GW 12 | (A) NOR | GW 18 | (A) SWA | |
| GW 13 | (H) QPR | GW 19 | (H) NEW | |
| GW 14 | (H) WHM | GW 20 | (H) WBA | |
| GW 15 | (A) RDG | GW 21 | (A) WIG |
As can be seen, aside from the trip to the Etihad in GW16 there’s hardly a game where United won’t be expected to score, and there could be a few drubbings along the way. So who to own? I’m going to take a look through each of the three outfield positions in fantasy football – Defence, Midfield, and Attack.
DEFENCE
| DEF | £ | TSB |
| Rafael | £6.0 | 20% |
| Evra | £6.8 | 7% |
| Ferdinand | £5.9 | 3% |
| Vidic | £6.7 | 3% |
| Jones | £5.6 | 1% |
First up there have been questions raised about United’s defence this season. An early injury to Vidic has left United without their defensive rock again this season, and it’s telling, although the finger has been pointed at the lack of a proper hard man to boss the midfield, a la Roy Keane and Patrick Viera. These are players of the last decade though, and today’s football is evolving, spearheaded by Barcelona and Spain. These days you don’t need necessarily need a hard man in midfield, particularly at the top level, rather 11 good football players, who can pass the ball and use the available space on the field as a team in both the attacking and defensive play.
Sir Alex’s men have been conceding goals and giving up clean sheets, and perhaps not really caring, relying on sheer goal threat to win games. The £24M signing of Robin Van Persie a clear indicator of their intent this season it seems.
Despite this though, they aren’t defending terribly, and are still within the top 5 or 6 teams defensively, which makes the likes of Jonny Evans and Rafael arguably ownable at £6m or less on clean sheet potential alone. It’s the attacking potential though were United’s players will be hoping to earn their corn. Below is a graphic showing Man Utd’s current back four. The image shows the relative statistics for each of the defender’s key attacking stats. As shown, Evra and Rafael lead the way in all categories, which is expected of full-backs in a side like United. Jonny Evans has been a threat from set pieces too, whilst Rio Ferdinand is left to watch the halfway line it seems.
Of these four, Rafael at £6m now compared to Evra’s £6.8m is clearly the man to own. The Brazilian’s current ownership of 20% means 1 in 5 FPL managers will have him in their line-ups. Despite his high ownership I’d still recommended buying him, he’s the kind of player who could score really big and represents little risk for his value.
MIDFIELD
| MID | £ | TSB |
| Kagawa | £8.2 | 7% |
| Valencia | £8.6 | 3% |
| Cleverley | £5.7 | 3% |
| Nani | £8.4 | 2% |
| Scholes | £5.3 | 2% |
| Carrick | £5.8 | 2% |
| Young | £8.2 | 1% |
Carrick is the only player in the United midfield that has played every game so far. Alex Ferguson has really chopped and changed his midfield, bringing in the likes of Giggs and Scholes for certain games, Cleverly has been in and out, Young was injured, Kagawa still is. It’s really been a minefield.
The chief contenders for FPL points are currently Valencia and Young, with Nani and Kagawa behind these two fighting for inclusion. The graphic below has been done on a per minute basis and Ashley Young has had little game time compared to the others. It seems Kagawa and Nani fit into a similar pattern, heavily involved in the attacking build-up (Final 3rd Passes) and creating a medium number of chances and shooting opportunities for themselves. Valencia is much more direct; he does not feature much in the attacking build-up, or get in many shots. He’s out wide providing the ammo. With doubts over the starting roles still for Nani, Young, and indeed Kagawa, Antonio Valencia is my pick of United’s midfield.
FORWARDS
| FWD | £ | TSB |
| Van Persie | £13.4 | 32% |
| Rooney | £11.8 | 8% |
| Welbeck | £8.0 | 1% |
| Hernandez | £7.5 | 1% |
The big question. Rooney or Van Persie. Both? What about neither. Welbeck and Hernandez are intriguing options and you should act fast if either Rooney or RVP were to suffer an injury, for now they will have to remain on the sidelines.
It has to be said it is still very early in the Rooney-Van Persie partnership. They only started 3 games together in the league so far. In these though, Rooney has tended to drop very deep, playing as a midfield playmaker, as can be seen by his final 3rd passes in the image below. , which represents both players stats in these last 3 games only. Rooney surprisingly, despite his less advanced position, has edged out Van Persie in all four key stats. In the 3 games they’ve played together both have scored 2 goals, Rooney has 2 assists, Van Persie 3. They have also shared set pieces, with Van Persie having most of the corners and Rooney the free kicks. It really is a close call, but with Rooney coming in at £1.6M cheaper and much less owned he gets my vote out of the two.
Gameweek 10 preview: Stoking the Fantasy fires
Being told that you sometimes play like Stoke City is apparently an insult these days, but it could be Stoke players who prove the most effective in Fantasy Premier League over the next few weeks.
A relatively kind fixture list up until just before Christmas should alert Fantasy bosses to Tony Pulis’s men, who go to Norwich City this weekend in search of a first away victory of the season.
That record along with just the nine points taken from nine Premier League matches so far might not give the impression that the boys from the Britannia have been anything to write home about in this campaign, but in goalkeeper Asmir Begovic (£4.8m) and forward Peter Crouch (£6.8m) they have two of the standout value for money selections in the game this season. Defenders Ryan Shawcross (£5.0m) and Robert Huth (£5.5m) and midfielders Jonathan Walters (£6.4m) and Michael Kightly (£5.5m) also provide interesting options, but it is to Crouch that Stoke will turn to on Saturday at Carrow Road against a team who have conceded more goals than everyone but Southampton so far.
Crouch will be coming up against one of the six clubs in this season’s Premier League that he has represented before, and he looks a good bet to bite the hand that used to feed him and find the net for the first time since scoring twice at home to Swansea on Gameweek 6. Finding form could be crucial to both Pulis’s team and yours ahead of this kind run of games.
Elsewhere over a Premier League weekend which would do well to be as dramatic as the last one and the midweek League Cup ties, Manchester United could go top of the table for a few hours at least as they take on Arsenal at Old Trafford early on Saturday afternoon.
These heavyweight clashes are usually best avoided by Fantasy bosses due to their often tight and competitive nature, but Robin van Persie (£13.4m) simply can’t be ignored here as he comes up against his former employers for the first time.
Unlike Crouch he’ll only face old friends twice this season, and with the Dutchman having found the net in his last two league matches and seven times overall to jointly lead the Premier League goalscoring charts alongside Demba Ba (£8.4m, but who is a doubt for Newcastle’s trip to Anfield on Sunday), then his form is easily apparent and matches the class that he undoubtedly has.
Every league match that Van Persie has started for United has produced either a goal or an assist for the Dutchman, and with it being almost impossible to envisage that run coming to an end on Saturday, if you’ve got the cash to splash then it could well be a wise move to rely on Robin.
Tottenham players are sure to prove popular given their home match against struggling Wigan, and whilst Jan Vertonghen (£6.4m), Gareth Bale (£9.6m) and Jermain Defoe (£8.0m) are sure to be attracting plenty of attention from Fantasy bosses, it might be worth considering that Spurs face trips to Manchester City and Arsenal in their next two weeks, and so it could be better to wait to bring their boys on board.
With the basement battle between QPR and Reading sure to be a committed affair on Sunday, perhaps there is potential for points on Monday night when West Brom take on Southampton at The Hawthorns.
With the Baggies having won four of their five home matches – only losing to champions Manchester City – and considering that the Saints have lost all four of their away fixtures, then success looks likely for Steve Clarke’s men in the final game of the weekend.
Key to that success is likely to be James Morrison (£6.2m), whose two goals and three assists this season have been key to the performances of Clarke’s side, and who is likely to be heavily involved against a team who have made shipping goals an art form since their elevation to the Premier League.
West Brom don’t play like Stoke, but they could be just as effective for you this week.











































