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To Infinity and Beyond- or at least GW5-GW9 (By @shots_on_target)

If you would like to get involved and write your own guest post for @FantasyYirma feel free to contact us via email, twitter or directly on the site

Many thanks to our guest post from @shots_on_target . This week he looks at some selection choices with the next 5 or 6 gameweeks in mind.

Here is my appraisal of transfer target’s that should serve you will for the next several gameweeks and beyond.   The players featured are those that have the right mixture of good form and good fixtures, regardless of price.  Obviously I am trying to aim slightly off the beaten path as there is no need to highlight the likes of Van Persie and Tevez .  These are all picks that aim to strengthen your squad on a mid to long term basis, rather than one week punts or trying to pick up a cheap or temporary option, with a particular focus on the next 6 game weeks.   All should be guaranteed game time, high points potential and value for money.

 

Up Front

 

Demba Ba (Newcastle) £7.7m 18% owned   FIXTURES: NOR (H) RDG (A) MUN (H)  SUN (A)  WBA (H) LIV (A)

Already bagged three this season from 5 shots on target and 15 shots in total.  This kind of production is perfectly reasonable return from a high quality striker, and his overall record in the Premiership is enviable (26 goals in 50 games with Newcastle and West Ham).  Reports that Cisse is suffering from illness eases concerns over his gametime in the near term.  Obviously is a slight risk having been named a sub recently but I think he’s too good not to start.

Dimitar Berbatov (Fulham) £7.1m       7.2% owned   FIXTURES: WIG (A) MCI (H) SOT (A) AVL (H) RDG (A) EVE (H)

Fulham showed Top 4 attacking form last year at home but struggled away.  This year they top the charts for total shots on target with 33, 10 more than next placed Tottenham.  But they top the charts for shots on target away from home too, with 14, 3 more than next best Spurs, so they are able to create chances away from home, and with the audacious Berbatov leading line, he, and they, are going to score goals.  I would even consider Berbs as a captain option for Fulham’s home fixtures.

 Also consider:   Luis Suarez (£9.4m)

 

Middle of the Park

 

Kevin Nolan (West Ham) £6.1m 8.7% owned   FIXTURES:  NOR (A) SUN (H) QPR (A) ARS (H) SOT (H) WIG (A)

Featured in my Midprice Midfielders article last week Nolan’s attacking intent, fixtures and goal-scoring record at this level get him into my best picks for the coming 6 weeks regardless of price, which is very, very generous considering West ham’s impressive start.

Also consider:  Hatem Ben Arfa (£7.7m), James Morrison (£6.0m)

 See also last week’s post on Midfield options here… https://fantasyyirma.wordpress.com/2012/09/14/guest-post-midfield-selection-advice-by-shots_on_target/

At the Back

 

Leighton Baines (Everton) £7.1m 14.6% FIXTURES:  SWA (A) SOT (H) WIG (A) QPR (A) LIV (H) FUL (A)

Not the best immediate run of fixtures but Baines is a season long pick in my opinion with games against Sunderland, Reading and Norwich to come after the next 6.  Baines looks to be on track to recapture his FPL form on the 2010/11 season that saw him return a 178 point season.  Last year he suffered but with Pienaar back in the team and Fellaini moved up front they are creating plenty of space and opportunity for the England man to join in the attack.

 

Glen Johnson (Liverpool) £6.4m  2%   FIXTURES: MAN (H) NOR (A) STO (H) RDG (H) EVE (A) NEW (H)

Liverpool are well off the fantasy radar right now and Glen Johnson has suffered a price drop since the start of the season.  You probably won’t want to pick him up for the forthcoming fixture against United but after that things start to brighten up with plenty of clean sheet potential in games versus Norwich, Stoke and Reading in particular.  Johnson has been involved plenty in Liverpool’s attacking play with an impressive 6 key passes and 7 shots.  Liverpool were dealt a harsh opening schedule but Johnson has shown promise that the forthcoming fixtures could reward some investment.

Guest Blogger Profile: @shots_on_target

Football and stats fan who finds nirvana within the game of fantasy football!!

Visit his blog for  #FPL key stats, rankings, analysis and point forecasts  http://shotsontarget.blogspot.co.uk/

Guest Post: Midfield Selection Advice (By @shots_on_target)

Many thanks to our guest post from @shots_on_target . If you would like to get involved and write your own guest post for Fantasy Yirma feel free to contact us via email, twitter or directly on the site

A few days ago I took a look at 5 budget midfielders whose performances in the Premier League had caught my eye, based on their FPL points to date plus their underlying stats that led to those points. ( http://shotsontarget.blogspot.co.uk/2012/09/5-budget-midfield-options.html )

The midfield options for an FPL side are one of the most important areas of the team.  Upfront can tend to pick itself at times and many elect to play a 3 man defence so the midfield is all important and a potential conundrum.

This article looks at some midprice options, ones that offer no surprise to anyone reading this I’m sure, but their attention is warranted, both on FPL points scored and underlying stats. In a future post (soon) I am going to look at the 5 midfielders in this price range that have come in under the radar.

What to expect of a midprice midfielder?
I’m putting midprice at £6.0 – 8.0m.  Based on the rationale outlined in the budget midfielder’s post, I’m gonna aim for a target of 150 FPL points, or roughly 4 pts/game.  This will require an offensive points tally of about 60 points, which equates to 10+ goals, or 5 goals and 10 assists.

Looking at last season the kind of players who were getting close or exceeding this tally in the midprice bracket were Ben Arfa, James Morrison, Sessengon, Yaya Toure and Walters – so not too many.

Here’s a look at players this year that are showing some early promise.  There are no surprises but I’ve taken their current form based on underlying stats only and projected expected points scored in their next 6 fixtures.  I’ve also extrapolated this points projection to a price value based on ?1m netting you 20 pts, as explained a little in the budget midfielder’s post.

Any comments, queries or suggestions, do let me know.  Thanks 🙂

Hatem Ben Arfa – Newcastle (£7.7m)
The most expensive player in this list and rightly so from his form end of last season.  I remember reading a piece in the Observer last year that one day he might be “the best player in the world”  (his words).  He’s certainly an option in this price range.  He’s scored two goals this season from only two shots on target but Newcastle have not had the easiest of fixtures so there’s sure to be more to come.  Upcoming fixtures are mixed.

Next 6 fixtures:  EVE (A)  NOR (H)  RDG (A)  MUN (H)  SUN (A)  WBA (H)
Current Form Projected Points =27 pts  4.5pts/game   Projected Value= £8.5m

Damien Duff – Fulham (£6.1m)
Good old Damien Duff.  I don’t know what to make of him really.  Fairly unfashionable fantasy option despite his advanced role in a fairly attacking team.   This season he had a good game against Norwich at home on the opening day, as may be expected, with 2 key passes, 2 shots and 1 on target (1 goal) but followed that up in two tricky away games against Utd and West Ham with a further key pass, 3 shots, 2 on target, including a goal at Old Trafford.  To be honest I would not own him although Fulham’s upcoming fixtures offer hope.  Too unfashionable 😉
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Next 6 fixtures:  WBA (H) WIG (A) MCI (H)  STO (A) RDG (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 26pts, 4.3 pt/game.  Projected Value = £8m

Marouane Fellaini – Everton (£6.9m)
Asa lifelong Evertonian I love this guy.  Who remembers his Zidane like pirouette against City a couple of years ago?  Moyes has been playing him up front in support of Jelavic since Tim Cahill’s form declined last year.  He’s scored 2 goals so far and been more involved in the attacking play than any other Everton player.  He’s shown he can score goals in the past too.  Midway through his first season Moye’s shoe-horned him up front due an all too frequent striker crisis… He bagged 8 goals in 20 something games.  This is having played as a defensive midfielder his whole life.  Quality.  No real tricky fixtures in the next 6 either, and that includes Liverpool  🙂

Next 6 fixtures:  NEW (H)  SWA (A)  SOT (H) WIG (A) QPR (A) LIV (H)
Current Form Projected Points = 31pts,  5.2 pt/game.  Projected Value = £9.8m

Kevin Nolan – West Ham (£6.1m)
The only really thing you need to say about Kevin Nolan is … the guy scores goals.  Senior career stats are bobbing about the 1 goals in 4 games mark and under Allardyce and playing off Carroll he should thrive, as he’s shown already with two goals.  He is well priced and still a differential.  If he was in my team I would be delighted.    Can he get 10 goals this season?  I doubt it, maybe 6-8 and a few assists, but with some tasty looking fixtures on the horizon he is my value for money pick in this price range.

Next 6 fixtures: NOR (A)  SUN (H)  QPR (A)  ARS (H)  SOT (H)  WIG (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 29pts,  4.8 pt/game.  Projected Value = £9.1m

Michu – Swansea (£7.3m)
Michu, Michu, Michu.  I am pleased to Michu.  Michu were here. I  Michu already.  A fantasy darling in the making,  scoring 15 goals in La Liga last year and 4 already in the Prem. this season.  He’s scored with every shot he’s had on target and no one expects him to keep up this goal return but he is still at the sharp end in a very good attacking team.  Clearly a bargain at ?6.5m he still offers value after a ?0.8m price rise, however, the fixtures are starting to stiffen up.  Don’t hold on too long if the Swansea’s bubble starts to burst, he’s not superman,

Next 6 fixtures:AVL (A)  EVE (H)  STO (A)  RDG (H)  WIG (H) MCI (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 25pts,  4.2 pt/game.  Projected Value = ?7.9m

Conclusion
Of these 5 I own Michu and have owned him since GW1, and am obviously chuffed with his FPL points so far.  Delighted!  But I am itching to cash in.  I don’t think he can keep this form up, although he’ll probably achive the same ballpark points tally as the others on this list.  But you have to take a look Fellaini and Nolan as money saving alternatives.  Give me a free transfer and I’d swap my Michu for Fellaini.

Guest Blogger Profile: @shots_on_target

Football and stats fan who finds nirvana within the game of fantasy football!!

Visit his blog for  #FPL key stats, rankings, analysis and point forecasts  http://shotsontarget.blogspot.co.uk/

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