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Fantasy Football: The “must have” Midfielders !

There is a wealth of information out there now related to Fantasy Football. The good news is that so much of it is well worth a read when considering changes for your #FPL squad. This article is no exception, a fantastic guest post from @fpl_mentor on the Midfielders your team needs to be thinking of! The link at the bottom will take you to the original article. Highly recommended.

As always if you have an article you would like to feature on FantasyYIRMA email Ryan at FantasyYIRMA@hotmail.com or contact us via twitter @FantasyYIRMA to discuss.

Must Have FPL Players – Midfielders

If you’ve been following my team over the last few weeks, you’ll know that I used my January wildcard in GW22. One of my main objectives was to come out of DGW22 and DGW23 not only having exploited them as much as possible, but also to end up with RVP and my dream midfield.I say my dream midfield, but it’s turned into somewhat of a template midfield in FPL terms – the Magic 5 of Mata, Walcott, Bale, Michu and Fellaini.

Having said that, the player with the lowest owned % of the 5 is Gareth Bale at 16.7% so that’s the absolute maximum % of FPL managers who have this midfield. Realistically it’s more likely to be closer to the lower end of the 5-10% range at most, if even that, so it’s not quite as common a 5-man midfield as you may have been led to believe.
So why is this 5 so special then? What makes them the ‘Magic 5’?
Let’s have a look at some of the important figures – minutes played, total points scores, and most importantly in my opinion, the number of points they score per 90 minutes played.

I’ve taken the 10 highest scoring midfielders so far this season so you can see how the Magic 5 compare to the other 5 that make up the top 10. The following table shows all 10 listed in descending order according to their total number of points. Ignore the 2 columns on the right for now, I’ll get to those shortly.
Rank
Player
name
% of teams
owned by
Current
price
Minutes played
Total points
Points per 90
minutes played
Value for
money
1
Mata
27.0%
10.0
1589
137
7.76
77.60%
2
Michu
49.0%
8.4
1878
130
6.23
74.17%
3
Cazorla
19.0%
9.6
2025
129
5.73
59.72%
4
Gerrard
7.0%
9.5
2070
128
5.57
58.58%
5
Hazard
21.6%
9.4
1789
127
6.39
67.97%
6
Walcott
21.7%
9.4
1226
121
8.88
94.50%
7
Bale
16.8%
9.8
1661
118
6.39
65.24%
8
Fellaini
34.2%
7.7
1614
111
6.19
80.38%
9
Lennon
8.0%
7.3
1992
98
4.43
60.65%
10
Silva
6.6%
9.4
1561
96
5.53
58.88%
The ever-consistent Juan Mata leads the way on this one, as you probably already know. This is just so you can see who makes up the top 10 more than anything. You might have expected the Magic 5 to be filling the top 5 spots but this isn’t the case, with Cazorla, Gerrard and Hazard joining Magic duo Mata and Michu in there while Magic trio Walcott, Bale and Fellaini only only take up places 6, 7 and 8 in this rankings table.
So why aren’t Cazorla, Gerrard and Hazard in the Magic 5 then? Don’t they deserve to be if they’ve score more points than Walcott, Bale and Fellaini??
Link to original article to Read more »

Guest Post: Midfield Selection Advice (By @shots_on_target)

Many thanks to our guest post from @shots_on_target . If you would like to get involved and write your own guest post for Fantasy Yirma feel free to contact us via email, twitter or directly on the site

A few days ago I took a look at 5 budget midfielders whose performances in the Premier League had caught my eye, based on their FPL points to date plus their underlying stats that led to those points. ( http://shotsontarget.blogspot.co.uk/2012/09/5-budget-midfield-options.html )

The midfield options for an FPL side are one of the most important areas of the team.  Upfront can tend to pick itself at times and many elect to play a 3 man defence so the midfield is all important and a potential conundrum.

This article looks at some midprice options, ones that offer no surprise to anyone reading this I’m sure, but their attention is warranted, both on FPL points scored and underlying stats. In a future post (soon) I am going to look at the 5 midfielders in this price range that have come in under the radar.

What to expect of a midprice midfielder?
I’m putting midprice at £6.0 – 8.0m.  Based on the rationale outlined in the budget midfielder’s post, I’m gonna aim for a target of 150 FPL points, or roughly 4 pts/game.  This will require an offensive points tally of about 60 points, which equates to 10+ goals, or 5 goals and 10 assists.

Looking at last season the kind of players who were getting close or exceeding this tally in the midprice bracket were Ben Arfa, James Morrison, Sessengon, Yaya Toure and Walters – so not too many.

Here’s a look at players this year that are showing some early promise.  There are no surprises but I’ve taken their current form based on underlying stats only and projected expected points scored in their next 6 fixtures.  I’ve also extrapolated this points projection to a price value based on ?1m netting you 20 pts, as explained a little in the budget midfielder’s post.

Any comments, queries or suggestions, do let me know.  Thanks 🙂

Hatem Ben Arfa – Newcastle (£7.7m)
The most expensive player in this list and rightly so from his form end of last season.  I remember reading a piece in the Observer last year that one day he might be “the best player in the world”  (his words).  He’s certainly an option in this price range.  He’s scored two goals this season from only two shots on target but Newcastle have not had the easiest of fixtures so there’s sure to be more to come.  Upcoming fixtures are mixed.

Next 6 fixtures:  EVE (A)  NOR (H)  RDG (A)  MUN (H)  SUN (A)  WBA (H)
Current Form Projected Points =27 pts  4.5pts/game   Projected Value= £8.5m

Damien Duff – Fulham (£6.1m)
Good old Damien Duff.  I don’t know what to make of him really.  Fairly unfashionable fantasy option despite his advanced role in a fairly attacking team.   This season he had a good game against Norwich at home on the opening day, as may be expected, with 2 key passes, 2 shots and 1 on target (1 goal) but followed that up in two tricky away games against Utd and West Ham with a further key pass, 3 shots, 2 on target, including a goal at Old Trafford.  To be honest I would not own him although Fulham’s upcoming fixtures offer hope.  Too unfashionable 😉
.
Next 6 fixtures:  WBA (H) WIG (A) MCI (H)  STO (A) RDG (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 26pts, 4.3 pt/game.  Projected Value = £8m

Marouane Fellaini – Everton (£6.9m)
Asa lifelong Evertonian I love this guy.  Who remembers his Zidane like pirouette against City a couple of years ago?  Moyes has been playing him up front in support of Jelavic since Tim Cahill’s form declined last year.  He’s scored 2 goals so far and been more involved in the attacking play than any other Everton player.  He’s shown he can score goals in the past too.  Midway through his first season Moye’s shoe-horned him up front due an all too frequent striker crisis… He bagged 8 goals in 20 something games.  This is having played as a defensive midfielder his whole life.  Quality.  No real tricky fixtures in the next 6 either, and that includes Liverpool  🙂

Next 6 fixtures:  NEW (H)  SWA (A)  SOT (H) WIG (A) QPR (A) LIV (H)
Current Form Projected Points = 31pts,  5.2 pt/game.  Projected Value = £9.8m

Kevin Nolan – West Ham (£6.1m)
The only really thing you need to say about Kevin Nolan is … the guy scores goals.  Senior career stats are bobbing about the 1 goals in 4 games mark and under Allardyce and playing off Carroll he should thrive, as he’s shown already with two goals.  He is well priced and still a differential.  If he was in my team I would be delighted.    Can he get 10 goals this season?  I doubt it, maybe 6-8 and a few assists, but with some tasty looking fixtures on the horizon he is my value for money pick in this price range.

Next 6 fixtures: NOR (A)  SUN (H)  QPR (A)  ARS (H)  SOT (H)  WIG (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 29pts,  4.8 pt/game.  Projected Value = £9.1m

Michu – Swansea (£7.3m)
Michu, Michu, Michu.  I am pleased to Michu.  Michu were here. I  Michu already.  A fantasy darling in the making,  scoring 15 goals in La Liga last year and 4 already in the Prem. this season.  He’s scored with every shot he’s had on target and no one expects him to keep up this goal return but he is still at the sharp end in a very good attacking team.  Clearly a bargain at ?6.5m he still offers value after a ?0.8m price rise, however, the fixtures are starting to stiffen up.  Don’t hold on too long if the Swansea’s bubble starts to burst, he’s not superman,

Next 6 fixtures:AVL (A)  EVE (H)  STO (A)  RDG (H)  WIG (H) MCI (A)
Current Form Projected Points = 25pts,  4.2 pt/game.  Projected Value = ?7.9m

Conclusion
Of these 5 I own Michu and have owned him since GW1, and am obviously chuffed with his FPL points so far.  Delighted!  But I am itching to cash in.  I don’t think he can keep this form up, although he’ll probably achive the same ballpark points tally as the others on this list.  But you have to take a look Fellaini and Nolan as money saving alternatives.  Give me a free transfer and I’d swap my Michu for Fellaini.

Guest Blogger Profile: @shots_on_target

Football and stats fan who finds nirvana within the game of fantasy football!!

Visit his blog for  #FPL key stats, rankings, analysis and point forecasts  http://shotsontarget.blogspot.co.uk/

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